fredag den 10. maj 2019


NOTHING IN 
THE WORLD 
THERE WILL REPLACE THE  
EDIFICE BUILT BY 
FOSSIL FUELS.
By 
Søren Nielsen 
2019.





I am a map maker if you will, a cartographer going out to try and map, how the world really worked to as opposed to the way, we where told it worked.

And the map that we have made has proved so startlingly accurate over ten years, whether they had to do with gold prices or geopolitical developments or economic events.

The only thing that amazes me is the speed with which things are falling apart, and that message now is the single most important thing in my life.



It`s the only thing in my life, well, except for rock music, good music, and long walks on the beach.


9/11
I first became focused on energy issues in late 2001, just maybe a month or two after 9/11.

A brilliant guy named "Dale Allan Pfeiffer", who introduced me to the concept of peak oil and the basic issues about energy and helped me to realize that there was a great deal of evidence in 2001, not only that peak oil was very real but that government agencies where acting and responding as if it was very real.


All plastic is oil. Most paints, all pesticides are made from oil. Everything from toothpaste to tooth brushes is made from oil. 

There are seven gallons of oil in every tire. There is nothing anywhere in any combination that will replace the edifice built by fossil fuels.

Nothing.

Peak Oil.
Peak oil is probably now very easy to explain, much easier than it was a long time ago. People have felt what 147$ a barrel oil fells like.

Essentially peakoil is like if you know what a bell curve is.
Goes up, comes down. Peak oil is the point of oil production when you`re at the top of the bell curve. And essentially what that means is, you`re used up half of the resource.

In the case of oil or any other substance like that, no matter how much money you throw at it, you`re never going to be able to increase oil production above where it was at peak.

As of 2008, the "International Energy Agency" has admitted that there is a global 9% decline rate in oil production.

That`s the equivalent of about 8 million barrels a day. There is no way, having plucked all the low-hanging fruit
and found all the big reservoirs that we are gonna to able to offset a 9% decline rate. 


From a detective`s standpoint, if you are trying to assemble a case, the multidimensional aspects of a case...

Means, Motive, Opportunity... to understand what kind of force drives events, peak oil was almost with the stroke of, like, a diamond cutter`s knife the single piece which started to make everything resonate and make sense together.


An economy that runs on petroleum, some 20 million barrels of it a day. (Vice President Dick Cheney.)

You will recall that when the Bush administration took office in January of 2001, a National Energy Policy Development Group, the "NEPDG", was formed and placed under the exclusive, private, absolute control of "Vice President Dick Cheney". Its records where kept a secret, its minutes where kept a secret, seven pages where released as a result of two lawsuits, and it clearly shows that, that task force was looking saying, 

"How much oil is thereWhere is itWho owns it?"

They knew that this was coming for a long time. It has been known that this event, this collapse, this crash, was coming.

First of all, if you think there might be oil someplace, then what you do is, you go drill a test well. Then what you have to do, is to take that one well in the center, and then you drill a series of appraisal wells around that well to determine where the oil field might go.

You don`t know how much oil you`re gonna get, how deep it is, what kind of oil it`s gonna to be. There are many different grades of oils, a lot of which are more expensive to refine.

So all of that has to do with how long it takes to make something produce, how much energy do you get back for how much energy you invested.

When oil was seeping out of the ground in Pennsylvania, you got a return of, i dont know, 200 to 1. When you have to go offshore, to deep water drilling in 15.000 feet of water and your first well costs 150 million $ to build, all that`s energy that`s being invested to get energy, and the moment you start burning more energy to get a barrel of oil out of the ground than it`s worth, forget about it.

The world`s been thoroghly explored over the last 120 years. There`s no major oil finds left. As a matter of fact, no field the size of Ghawar, the largest field in Saudi Arabia, has ever been discovered since.


Saudi Arabia.
Saudi Arabia has 25% of the known oil reserves on the planet. 

25%

Why, if Saudi Arabia has all these untapped reserves on shore are they moving heavily into offshore drilling?

Now, if it`s 5, 10, 50 times more expensive to drill offshore than on land, doesn`t that tell you that Saudi Arabia knows they`ve got no more oil to find?

It`s axiomatic that if Saudi Arabia has passes its peak and is in decline, the whole planet is just because of the size of the reserves that are there.


IRAQ
Iraq is oil that`s nor only accessible, it`s right close to the Persian Gulf, which means it`s a short distance to ships.

They can put the pipelines. They can get that into the global supply stream as everything else declines. 

And Iraq was all about the oil. A lot of prople have admitted that, and like, duh. 

11 days after 9/11, when there was no clear evidence that Saddam Hussein had anything to do with 9/11... of course, he didn`t... the plans where started to invade Iraq, of course.

That was the objective, get control of that oil. Because Saddam Hussein had been talking about pricing his oil in Euros, taking it away from the dollar. The US got in there, the US restructured everything. 

The US put in a friendly government using the U.S. dollar, and they assured the oil companies their "fair access" and fair share of Iraqi oil. 

The US have no intention of leaving Iraq. The US never gonna leave Iraq. Going back to 2004, the US started builing the largest, most permanent military bases, three of them, in the world, plus the largest embassy compound that`s ever been built. 

The US built an embassy compound in Baghdad that`s bigger than "Vatican City". That`s not a temporary deal.

Nobody is gonna take that oil. The US are sitting on it. But there is not enough oil in Iraq to change anything.

Iraq probably has around 90 billion barrels of recoverable oil. That sounds like a lot of oil. But when you consider that in 2008 the world was consuming 85 million barrels a day, that means a billion barrels of oil only last for about 11½ days, so that ain`t that much oil. 


They knew exactly what was coming. That`s what`s in the National Energy Policy Development Group report that`s  been classified, because if that report where declassified, the US people would be building scaffolds to hang "Vice President Dick Cheney" and everybody in that administration tomorrow.


The Arctic.
Let`s assume just for the sake of discussion that there`s 600 billion barrels in the Arctic.

First of all, it happens to be under the polar ice cap. That`s a problem. The polar ice cap happens to be on, what 10.000 - 15.000 feet water. The problem with the polar ice cap is, it floats, it moves.

So you can`t drill a well on Tuesday and expect it to be in the same place on Thursday. That`s why a lot of conservative think tanks and oil companies are cheering the melting of the polar ice caps.


A.N.W.R 
If there is oil in ANWR there`s no more than about a six-month supply for the entire United States. There are no pipelines across a thousand miles of tundra that`s melting due to global warming, which means you can`t sink pipes to support a pipeline in tundra that`s truned to mud. There`s no tanker routes the wells aren`t drilled, and yet The US are spending there future as if that oil is there.

They got to drop all this lying right now. We don`t need transparency about anything other than about how much oil is really left, because they don`t know.

Oil is a commodity, it`s an asset. You make loans based upon what`s in the ground, so you have all these accounting terms: possible reserves, proven reserves, ultimately recoverable reserves, verified reserves, estimated reseres, ect ect.

But actual reserve estimates are state secrets. The Saudis don`t dare announce that they`ve passed their peak of oil production. Why ?

They have a very restive population that have been sold an expectation of a rising standard of living, and the moment Saudi Arabia acknowledges it`s past peak, it may well have a revolution. Now, what happens if there`s a revolution in Saudi Arabia with 25% of the world`s known oil?

Where is that oil going to get replaced from? It can`t be.
Very complex problem. It`s a very complex situation.


The 70s
The 70s was really a critical decade. In the 70s, Marion King Hubbard, the original prophet of peak oil, in late 1949 he did the math and said US domestic oil production will peak in 1970. So that`s not some feat of Nostradamus 
communicating with some entity.

It´s math, it`s science, it`s simple.

But in the 70s, M. King Hubbard testified before Congress. That was 1974.

In 1976, President Jimmy Carter said, 

"Man, we cannot use as much energy as we have been using."

That`s when solar panels went up. That`s when he start... he knew.

They have known in Washington. I have published on my website, as have others, declassified CIA documents from 1976 showing that CIA was perfectly aware of peak oil.

In those days, of course, when the situation appeared to be normal, when people had jobs they had vacations, they had credit cards, they had credit lines, everybody is talking about growth, growth, growth, buy, buy, buy, spend, consume, consume, and everything seemed to be working, yeah, we were called alarmists. 

We don`t live in that world anymore.


Transportmittel.
800 million internal combustion-powered Vehicles on the planet. They all run on oil. It takes uncounted barrels of oil to make those cars and engines in the first place, and you cannot plug any new technology into an internal combustion powered engine.

With seven gallons of oil in every tire, nobody will ever make 800 million new internal combustion anything because there ain`t gonna be enough oil.

Ethanol.
Ethanol is an absolute... joke.

First of all, a very brilliant scientist, David Pimentel took the concept of net energy, how much energy do you invest versus how much do you get in return, and he concluded about a decade ago, that it takes more energy to make ethanol, than you get from burning it, which is absolute stupidity. Because you drive the oil-powered machines, ectetera, you irrigate, you use the fertilizers, you`re burning all that oil and natural gas to grow it.

Then you make steam which is... which is more hydrocarbon energy, you add more chemicals, and you come up with ethanol, which you can put in a car.

Now, the Bush administration had announced a goal of having 15% of all fuel in the United States made from ethanol, by the year 2015.

They forgot to tell you that would take all the arable land used to grow corn to do it.


Canadian Tar Sands.
Canadian tar sands is an oil. It is a very, very thick, sticky, obnoxious substance that`s mixed in with sand at levels 200, 300, 400, 500 feet in layers beneath the soil. This is in Alberta.

And they literally strip mine thousands of tons a day. They put them in these huge, oil-powered dump trucks and drive them to a place where they then wash the sand.

They take millions and billions of gallons of fresh water, which we`re running out of everywhere, and they boil it by burning natural gas. There is not a possibility anywhere that Canadian tar sand`s production will exceed maybe 3 million, 3.5 million barrels a day.


Hydrogen & Electric
The first thing that the uneducated mind that`s in denial says, 

"Well, what about hydrogen? Can`t we make electric cars?"

Then i have to bring them back to the fact that there`s seven gallons of oil in every tire, thar there are thousands of gallons of oil in every car, in the plastics, the paints, the resins, everything. All of that is made by oil. 

The oil that`s used to manufacture the car and ship it around, to heat the metals, ect. ect.


There will never be 800 million electric powered vehicles, and electricity is not an energy source. Electricity is generated by burning or using some other kind of energy.

ELECTRICITY.
It`s clear that electricity is the key to industrial civilization in that it powers our refrigeration.

It runs the water pumps that pump water out of the New York subway system every day. It allows us to commute electronically, charge our cell phone batteries, preserv food, run operating rooms, ect ect...

The subject of alternative energies.

CLEAN COAL.
There is no such thing as clean coal, and there never ever will be.  

Why?

Carbon sequestration is enormously expensive. What it says essentially is, you capture the CO2 and any other greenhouse gases emitted, in the burning of the coal, you exert enormous amounts of energy to compress it, then you move it over enormously long distances, and you pump it into some airtight chamber in the ground where somebody will figure out with technology what to do with the greenhouse gas in 10.000 or 15.000 thousand years.

NUCLEAR.
Nuclear process requires something like 10 to 13 years of incubation to get the permitting done, all the regulations satisfied, and the construction of nuclear power plants is one of the most energy-intensive processes in the world.

The steel, the lead containment, the enrichment of uranium is a horribly intensive process. You just don`t throw a rock of uranium in and start marking nuclear energy. Can`t do that.

TIDAL.
The first and obvious problem with tidal energy is, it has to be generated or collected near a coastline. Salt water is extremely corrosive.

There`s an enormous energy cost in manufacturing the machines. There are only two alternative energies which can really have an immediate impact, an immediate benefit.


SOLAR & WIND.
Now, the problem with plans like enormous wind farms in Texas, Oklahoma, Colorado, the fundamental law with electricity is, that it`s drawn off right where it`s used first.

Yes, you can transmit electricity over long distances, but people don`t think about the energy that goes into transformers, and how much copper is in power lines, and all the maintenance that has to go to that grid.

So when you see really ridiculous commercials that say we could have a solar array 96 miles in the desert, they don`t even think about the fact that electricity is going to get used in California before it goes any place else.


NAHRUNGSMITTEL.
The soil is the place from which all plant matter gets its nutrients, and if you keep sucking the nutrients out, the soil is useless.

For all of history, the way the soil was replenished  and the nutrients where returned in some measure to the soil was that plant matter was allowed to decay, to compost, to rostock the soil.

That`s why crop rotation is so important. You may have one crop of celery which will suck certain chemicals out of the soil. Another crop, wheat or something else, may reture those same chemicas to the soil. So the soil maintains a balance.

It`s kind of sad, because we as a species have become so disconnected from the Earth. 

We don`t have any real contact with the Earth. We don`t have any sense of its functions, its feel, its nature, its seasons, its timing.

First of all, topsoil on which food is grown now is nothing more than a sponge onto which we pour chemicals that we get from oil and natural gas, and without those chemicals... the soil has been turned into a junkie, the soil is worthless.

So when you plant a crop now, what happens is you drive an oil-powered machine. Drives along, and it plows. Then you drive another oil-powered machine, and it drives along, and it plants.

And then you irrigate. Well, how do you irrigate? Well, that water is pumped by pumps that are powered by electricity. Where`s that electricity come from?

In the United States, it`s either coal or natural gas. So next thing you do is come along, and you fertilize it. All commercial fertilizers are made from ammonia, and the feddstock for ammonia is natural gas. 

So you have ammonium nitrate fertilizers that are then sprayed on by another oil-powered vehicle. Then the crop dusters come along that are powered by oil that spray pesticides that are all made from petroleum.

Then when its time to harvest the food, what do you do? You drive another oil-powered machine, and you harvest it.

You use another oil-powered machine to drive it to a place where it`s processed. Then you wrap it up in plastic, which is oil, and you put it in another oil-powered machine, and you drive it X number of miles to a food distribution warehouse and an oil-powered machine to your supermarket.

The way food is grown, produced, and moved around the world today, it`s an enormous waste of hydrocarbon energy which doesn`t make sense.

Why do we have strawberries from Chile? Why do we have spinach from China? Why do we ship anchovies halfway around the world to be packaged in tin cans?

There are ten calories of hydrocarbon energy in every calorie of food consumed in the industrialized world.

Three times in my life.

I tried to walk away from, forget about, the things that i had seen that where so out of whack, that where so crazy, that where so wrong.

I reached a point... it was about 1993 when i first became involved and learned of the murder of Marine Colonel Jim Sabow at El Toro Marine Air Station.

He was the chief of Air Ops, and he had caught CIA C130s flying 2000 and 3000 kilos of cocaine on to his base, and he was suicided.

There was no turning back for me, and i knew that wherever this path was gonna go, i had to follow it.

I wrote about 109 mysterious deaths or suicides in the U.S. Military in a very short period of time, and i found that most of those where connected to covert operations in one way or another.


People wonder, how this guy came to know all this shit.
Well, this comes from 30 years of learning how to scan mainstream media and read it, a way of finding stories from around the world that tell you all the things that are really going on that are not played on the headlines... but they`re the kind of stories that people who really make decisions know how to look for... and then how to connect them, how to place the dots close enough together so that they can be connected.

But what inevitably happened every time i tried to walk away from this path that i have walked,  everything else in my life would be taken away from me, so that this the path, and this is the only thing left, so I will go all the way to the end of this path.


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